Standard & Poor’s changed its outlook on the government-sponsored enterprises this week to negative from stable, mirroring its move on U.S. debt obligations earlier. When analysts placed the U.S. sovereign rating on negative outlook, it pointed to the conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as the main cause. Analysts estimated it could cost 3.5% of GDP to capitalize and relaunch Fannie and Freddie – in addition to the 1% GDP already invested. Analysts affirmed the triple-A rating on the GSEs. The outlook revision pertains to Fannie, Freddie and 10 of the 12 Federal Home Loan Banks, excluding those located in Chicago and Seattle. The credit of the GSEs is “constrained by the long-term sovereign rating on the U.S.” And the outlook and rating for the GSEs will change if the U.S. sovereign rating is downgraded, according to S&P. “We derive our opinion of the support included in the ratings based on the links and roles attached to the supporting entity, the U.S. government,” analysts said. Jim Vogel of FTN Financial said the S&P move on the GSEs was expected and investors are unlikely to change their strategies. “The segment that limits GSE debt purchases now won’t buy any less,” Vogel said. “The rest that have been comfortable with GSE investment characteristics are unlikely to buy any less either.” S&P said it does not expect to downgrade the U.S. Analysts at Capital Economics, said “we wouldn’t be too surprised to see the U.S. lose its triple-A rating, at least temporarily. But there are a number of reasons why U.S. debt will still remain attractive to borrowers.” Write to Jon Prior. Follow him on Twitter @JonAPrior.
Jon Prior was a reporter with HousingWire through late 2012.see full bio
Most Popular Articles
Latest Articles
From resilience to antifragility: Rethinking cybersecurity for real estate and mortgage professionals
In information security, we’ve long spoken about resilience. The goal has been to withstand an attack, recover quickly, and return to business as usual. But in today’s environment—where attackers adapt and evolve daily—resilience is no longer enough. We must go further. We must embrace antifragility.
-
From local to global: RE/MAX’s Chris Lim on the next era of real estate relationships
-
Stop marketing like it’s 2008: You’re invisible
-
RE/MAX accelerates real estate innovation with AI and technology
-
Retirement plans for small-business owners have visible generational gaps
-
VA loans rise as housing market shifts toward buyers
Jon Prior was a reporter with HousingWire through late 2012.see full bio
